FX MARKET REPORT 21.12.2020
GBP/USD added to its steep intraday decline and plunged to over one-week lows. New coronavirus strains led to fresh lockdown in the UK and weighed on the GBP. Weaker risk tone benefitted the safe-haven USD and contributed to the selling bias. The pair opened with a bearish gap on the first day of a new trading week in reaction to the imposition of tighter restrictions in the UK to stem a fast-spreading new coronavirus strain. This comes on the back of a deadlock in the post-Brexit trade negotiations and weighed heavily on the British pound. Meanwhile, fresh coronavirus jitters overshadowed the optimism over a deal on a long-awaited $900 billion US coronavirus aid package and an emergency use approval for Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine. This, in turn, took its toll on the global risk sentiment and triggered a sharp pullback in the equity markets. Following a volatile Q1, EUR/USD gained strong upside traction breaking above the long-term downside trendline from the 2008 high. Essentially, the fact that the euro managed to clear this important barrier was a strong bullish signal. The 1.45 mark would be an ambitious target for investors who expect the shared currency to perform well in the next years, according to economists at Rabobank. The dollar index corrected after an extended slide on bets that a weak dollar will favor growth in emerging economies next year. The trigger for the reversal came from a story arguing that Janet Yellen, who is set to be the next Treasury Secretary, may return to defending the U.S.’s traditional policy of a strong dollar, after four years of unvarnished attempts by the Trump administration to weaken it.